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Unusual Predictions

Unusual Predictions

Unusual Predictions is an analytics dashboard and data API for Polymarket, featuring Z-Score statistical anomaly flags, smart money tracking, volatility monitoring, and whale trade analytics.

Analytics
Polymarket
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What is Unusual Predictions?

Overview of Unusual Predictions analytics

Unusual Predictions is a dedicated prediction-market analytics dashboard and REST API designed to track trading activity on Polymarket. Developed by Unusual Whales, Inc., the platform focuses on surfacing anomalous bets, tracing whale activity, and assessing smart-money flows across various event contracts. By structuring transaction and order book data, the tool aims to help traders monitor unusual transaction volumes, trade anomalies, and volatility shifts in real time.

Key Features

Technical capabilities of Unusual Predictions

Z-Score Anomaly Flags

Utilizes statistical Z-score calculations to identify anomalous and outlier betting volumes, helping users trace unusual transaction volumes and statistical anomalies before major odds shifts. These flags indicate statistical wallet anomalies rather than absolute proof of insider trading.

Smart Money & Smart Score

Provides a proprietary trader scoring index ranging from -100 to 100 in partnership with Hashdive, highlighting wallets with high historical profitability or accuracy.

Smart Gap Analysis

Analyzes the spread and price discrepancies across prediction contracts to identify arbitrage and market inefficiencies.

Whale Trades Tracking

Monitors large-scale predictions and tracks high-volume wallets, displaying historical performance and active positions.

Volatility Monitoring

Tracks sudden shifts in contract prices and trading volumes, signaling rapid movements or breaking news events.

REST API Access

Provides developers and quantitative traders with direct access to structured market data, smart money endpoints, and trade alerts.

How It Works

Data collection and analysis workflow

1

Data Aggregation

The platform ingests real-time transaction and order book data directly from Polymarket.
2

Anomalous Trade Identification

Algorithms apply Z-score formulas to filter out standard trading activity and isolate statistically significant bet volumes.
3

Wallet Scoring

Through its partnership with Hashdive, the system analyzes historic wallet profitability and assigns trader scores from -100 to 100.
4

Dashboard and API Delivery

Processed data is displayed on the web dashboard or served via REST API endpoints for user research and integrations.

Account Setup Steps

Getting started with Unusual Predictions

1

Navigate to predictions website

Visit the official Unusual Whales Predictions site or the dedicated unusualprediction.com domain.
2

Sign in or register

Create a new account or log in using existing Unusual Whales credentials.
3

Select subscription option

Subscribe to the standalone predictions plan for $20/month, or opt for the comprehensive Retail Pro membership for $75/month.
4

Open predictions dashboard

Access the dashboard to view real-time whale tracks, smart score rankings, and volatility alerts.
5

Retrieve Bearer API token

Navigate to the API settings page in your dashboard to generate your Bearer token for REST API access.

Pricing Plans

Subscription options for Unusual Predictions

Standalone Predictions
$20/month or $184/year
  • Full predictions web dashboard access
  • Whale trades tracking and alerts
  • Z-Score anomaly detection feeds
  • Hashdive Smart Money scores
  • Basic REST API access
Retail Pro Subscription
$75/month
  • All predictions dashboard and API features
  • Unusual Whales options and stock market intelligence
  • Full suite of trading tools and dashboards

Pros & Cons

Strengths and limitations of Unusual Predictions

Pros

  • Z-Score anomaly flags help identify statistically unusual bets before odds shift.
  • Partnership with Hashdive provides historic wallet-level trader performance rankings.
  • REST API access supports quantitative trading models and data pipelines.
  • Whale tracking dashboard monitors high-volume wallets and position histories.

Cons

  • Requires a paid subscription, with no free tier available.
  • Polymarket is the only prediction platform supported for analytics.
  • Provides analytics only; users still need a separate trading venue.

Use Cases

How different traders use Unusual Predictions

Anomalous Bet Discovery

Traders search for unusual and high Z-score bet sizes on specific Polymarket contracts to investigate statistical anomalies or early market interest.

Trader Profiling

Researchers analyze wallet histories and Smart Money scores (-100 to 100) to find and monitor prediction market accounts with high historical accuracy.

Quantitative API Integration

Developers use the REST API with Bearer tokens to build custom trading alerts, track whale movements, or integrate data into private models.

Alternatives

Comparable prediction market analytics tools

Hashdive

Partner and data source that provides underlying trader analytics, wallet performance tracking, and Smart Money scores.
Visit Website

Polysights

Competitor prediction-market terminal and analytics platform focusing on market discovery and unusual-activity signals.
Visit Website

Polymarket Analytics

Competitor market and trader research analytics platform acquired by PolyGun.
Visit Website

Betmoar

Adjacent trading terminal and Discord bot providing UMA monitoring, whale tracking, and event views.
Visit Website

Polywhaler

Competitor whale-tracking dashboard designed for Polymarket to monitor high-volume bets and potential insider activity.
Visit Website

Frequently Asked Questions

Common questions about Unusual Predictions

Unusual Predictions is an analytics dashboard and REST API created by Unusual Whales, Inc. to track, analyze, and alert on Polymarket trading activity.

They apply statistical Z-score formulas to transaction volumes on Polymarket to isolate anomalous trades that deviate significantly from average market behavior. These flags represent statistical wallet anomalies or unusual transaction volumes, rather than absolute proof of insider trading.

The Smart Score is a rating from -100 to 100 provided in partnership with Hashdive. It rates Polygon wallet addresses based on historical trading accuracy and profitability.

No. Unusual Predictions does not support order execution. It is an analytics and data tool, meaning users must execute trades directly on Polymarket.

A standalone subscription is available for $20/month or $184/year. Alternatively, it is included in the Retail Pro membership for $75/month.

Yes. Subscribed users can generate a Bearer token in their dashboard settings to access the REST API endpoints.

Conclusion

Summary of Unusual Predictions

Unusual Predictions offers a structured analytics layer for Polymarket, focusing on large-scale whale tracking, anomaly detection, and wallet performance. By leveraging Z-score filters and partnering with Hashdive for wallet scores, it packages raw blockchain transactions into usable intelligence. While it lacks a free tier and does not execute trades, the platform provides clear, quantitative value for prediction market analysts and API developers.

Tags

Prediction MarketAnalyticsAlertsPolymarketWhale TrackingDashboardData APITrader AnalyticsMarket DataMarket DiscoverySmart ScoreAPIPaid

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